The Price to Earnings ratio or P/E is price divided by earnings. This dedication to giving investors a trading advantage led to the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system. The Historical Cash Flow Growth is the longer-term (3-5 year annualized) growth rate of the cash flow change. Since the time I bought it there is only a few hundred shares traded a day and it's worrying me. However, that win was primarily achieved with stronger performance in the single aisle segment driven by orders from Chinese customers, a market that is still locked for Boeing from sales perspective. Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Airbus. should i buy eadsy or eadsf on Enero 16, 2021. Airbus stock was up roughly 9% during the year in line with its higher delivery value, but Boeings stock price performance was significantly hit by turbulence in its defense segment meaning that its double digit improvement in metrics for the commercial segment hardly carried any value during the year. Members of The Aerospace Forum get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate. But which of these two stocks is a . NASDAQ data is at least 15 minutes delayed. He thinks they will be okay longer term. Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). This helped me determine early on that Airbuss delivery target was not realistic. This is also useful to know when comparing a stock's daily volume (which can be found on a ticker's hover-quote) to that of its average volume. If a stock's Q1 estimate revision decreases leading up to its earnings release, that's usually a negative sign, whereas an increase is typically a positive sign. It is a natural beneficiary of the issues Boeing is having. Jan. 11, 2023, 04:15 AM. This is a medium-term price change metric. Users should not base their investment decision upon StockInvest.us. Increased government spending should drive the Aerospace & Defense industrys growth. They have a great backlog of planes. Structurally growing market, with very high barriers to entry. For the last week, the stock has had daily average volatility of 0.92%. recommended to SELL the stock. He bought Airbus a year or so ago at $28.The Airbus 320 is outselling the 737 Max. EasyJet shares ticked downwards on Thursday after initially moving up.The low-cost airline announced pre-tax losses of 557m over the half-year period, down from 645m at the same point a year ago. In a given year, one company gets more orders, then the next year the other gets more. A ratio under 40% is generally considered to be good.But note; this ratio can vary widely from industry to industry. Dies geschieht in Ihren Datenschutzeinstellungen. Learn more about Zacks Equity Research reports. EBITDA, as the acronym depicts, is earnings before interest, taxes, depreciation and amortization. While the hover-quote on Zacks.com, as well as the various tables, displays the delayed intraday quote and price change, this display shows the daily change as of the most recently completed trading day. Using this item along with the 'Current Cash Flow Growth Rate' (in the Growth category above), and the 'Price to Cash Flow ratio' (several items above in this same Value category), will give you a well-rounded indication of the amount of cash they are generating, the rate of their cash flow growth, and the stock price relative to its cash flow. The price has risen in 6 of the last 10 days and is up by 4.46% over the past 2 weeks. Investor Alert: The 2023 Bull Run is Over? (Book value is defined as total assets minus liabilities, preferred stocks, and intangible assets.) Furthermore, there is a buy signal from the 3 month Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD). Others look for those that have lagged the market, believing those are the ones ripe for the biggest increases to come. Further fall is indicated until a new bottom pivot has been found. If this is broken, then the next support from accumulated volume will be at $28.42 and $27.04. The EV/EBITDA ratio is a valuation multiple and is often used in addition, or as an alternative, to the P/E ratio. * indicates the important links in the menu. They are really the only alternative. That means you want to buy stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2, Strong Buy or Buy, which also has a Score of an A or a B in your personal trading style. Seeing a company's projected sales growth instantly tells you what the outlook is for their products and services. For example, a company with a P/E ratio of 25 and a growth rate of 20% would have a PEG ratio of 1.25 (25 / 20 = 1.25). By continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and Terms of Service. Given that wide body aircraft sell for roughly 3 times the price of single aisle jet, Boeings dominance in the wide body segment could be of importance when assessing the performance of each jet maker from value perspective. Beyond what I have stated above, we have also rated the stocks for Growth, Momentum, Stability, and Sentiment. Domestic travel will start to happen and eventually international, when quarantine is not required. Trying to learn how to value a company, is this correct? The Sales to Assets ratio (or Sales to Total Assets or S/TA for short) shows how much sales are generated from a company's assets. A company with an ROE of 10%, for example, means it created 10 cents of assets for every $1 of shareholder equity in a given year. BA, meanwhile, will showcase its market-leading portfolio of commercial, defense, and services products at the 2021 Dubai Airshow this month, including the international debut of its newest fuel-efficient widebody jet, the 777X, along with the companys growing autonomous capabilities, such as the Boeing Airpower Teaming System. So the PEG ratio tells you what you're paying for each unit of earnings growth. Airbus SE engages in the designing, manufacturing, and delivering aerospace products, services, and solutions worldwide. A higher number means the company has more debt to equity, whereas a lower number means it has less debt to equity. But which of these two stocks is a better buy now? Zacks' proprietary data indicates that Airbus Group is currently rated as a Zacks Rank 2 and we are expecting an above average return from the EADSY shares relative to the . While our testing has found that a P/S ratio of <2 is the optimum range for returns, be sure to compare this ratio to its respective industry. It is used to help gauge a company's financial health. Airbus SE (ex EADS) Overweight. He prefers the bigger seats for long haul flights. The companys net loss declined 96.4% year-over-year to $126 million. There's also a VGM Score ('V' for Value, 'G' for Growth and 'M' for Momentum), which combines the weighted average of the individual style scores into one score. Volume fell together with the price during the last trading day and this reduces the overall risk as volume should follow the price movements. In a report released today, Chloe Lemaire from Jefferies maintained a Buy rating on Airbus Group SE ( EADSF - Research Report ), with a price target of EUR135.00. 0 analysts In this case it appears 1 share of AIR.PA is equivalent to 4 shares of EADSY. It currently has a Growth Score of C. Recent price changes and earnings estimate revisions indicate this would be a good stock for momentum investors with a Momentum Score of B. television programs (in particular Business News Network), neither recommends nor on . In this example, the one with the P/E of 40 is the better bargain because it is selling at a discount to its growth rate. A vaccine or herd immunity will encourage travel. Boeing year-over-year improvement (The Aerospace Forum). When evaluating a stock, it can be useful to compare it to its industry as a point of reference. Airbus was the clear winner when looking at gross orders with 1,078 orders compared to 935 orders for Boeing. It's typically categorized as a valuation metric and is most often quoted as Cash Flow per Share and as a Price to Cash flow ratio. Jan. 3, 2023, 02:55 AM. If you do not, click Cancel. Which is the better buy today? to move between $30.69 and $31.83, A change in margin can reflect either a change in business conditions, or a company's cost controls, or both. All of those stocks are classified into three groups: Sector, M Industry and X Industry. financial data for more than 25 000 publicly traded companies based on our calculated Since 1988 it has more than doubled the S&P 500 with an average gain of +24.48% per year. The Earnings Yield (also known as the E/P ratio) measures the anticipated yield (or return) an investment in a stock could give you based on the earnings and the price paid. Any other use, including for any commercial purposes, is strictly prohibited without our express prior written consent. That means you want to buy stocks with a Zacks Rank #1 or #2, Strong Buy or Buy, which also has a Score of an A or a B. 2023 is going to be another year with supply chain issues, but I do believe that both jet makers will see further improvement in the delivery numbers which should also drive value. This is justified given EADSYs 3.22% trailing-12-month CAPEX/Sales, which is 29.4% higher than the 2.49% industry average. She hasn't owned Boeing for years. attractive and any bets should be held until the stock is closer to the support level. The answer isn't Boeing, which is enjoying a renaissance now that the FDA has certified the troubled 737 Max, once its best-selling plane. Conventional wisdom also has it that if the yield on the stock market (S&P 500 for example) is lower that the yield on the 10 Yr., then stocks would be considered overvalued. EADSYs trailing-12-month revenue is 1.01 times what BA generates. How to Buy EADSY Stock. We're starting to see some recovery. Beforehand, some might have expected that Airbus would wipe Boeing out in terms of orders another year. A yield of 8.57% also means 8.57 cents of earnings for $1 of investment. which gives a possible trading interval of +/-$0.574 (+/-1.84%) up or down from last closing price. Read the latest stock experts ratings for Airbus. Like the earnings yield, which shows the anticipated yield (or return) on a stock based on the earnings and the price paid, the cash yield does the same, but with cash being the numerator instead of earnings. Some negative signals were issued as well, and these may have some influence on the near short-term development. Less than 1 means its liabilities exceed its short-term assets (cash, inventory, receivables, etc.). are strong. (A Top Pick Aug 19/19, Down 40%) It's been severely affected by the pandemic and the subsequent collapse of air travel. I am more oriented on value recognizing that a widebody sells for 3x times the price of a single aisle so I would say that Boeing won in terms of orders and Airbus won in terms of deliveries with Boeing showing the biggest year-over-year improvement. The predicted opening price is based on yesterday's movements between high, low, and closing price. The 12 Week Price Change displays the percentage price change over the most recently completed 12 weeks (60 days). The tested combination of price performance, and earnings momentum (both actual and estimate revisions), creates a powerful timeliness indicator to help you identify stocks on the move so you know when to get in and when to get out. Should I buy EADSY or Eadsf? Shareholder Equity (which is the difference between Total Assets and Total Liabilities) can be found on the Balance Sheet. The EUROPEAN AERONAUTIC stock price fell by -1.42% on the last day (Tuesday, 17th Jan 2023) from $31.71 to $31.26. It's in a duopoly in the aircraft business so it is a good market to be in the longer term. Note: there are many factors that can influence the longer-term number, not the least of which is the overall state of the economy (recession will reduce this number for example, while a recovery will inflate it), which can skew comparisons when looking out over shorter time frames. Here's For the amount I was buying, 100 shares, the OTC would be the cheapest. To see all exchange delays and terms of use, please see disclaimer. This upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward . Airbus won in terms of net orders and delivery volumes and value. This item is updated at 9 pm EST each day. Nimesh Jaiswal's fervent interest in analyzing and interpreting financial data led him to a career as a financial analyst and journalist. Visit Performance Disclosure for information about the performance numbers displayed above. In the last year, 1 stock A strong cash flow is important for covering interest payments, particularly for highly leveraged companies. This measure is expressed as a percentage. Boeing did surprisingly well, but horrible defense performance hurt its stock price potential. The sales differential of 318 aircraft in the single aisle segment, in fact, can almost be fully explained by the 292 single aisle jets that Chinese customers. Since bonds and stocks compete for investors' dollars, a higher yield typically needs to be paid to the stock investor for the extra risk being assumed vs. the virtual risk-free investment offered in U.S.-backed Treasuries. I/we have a beneficial long position in the shares of BA, EADSF either through stock ownership, options, or other derivatives. A P/B of 2 means it's selling at 2 times its book value. Moreover, EADSY is the clear winner with 14.4% gains versus BA's negative returns in terms of the past six months' performance. Read the latest stock experts' ratings for Airbus. stock closed at a price of $31.71. EADSY: What are Zacks experts saying now? Delayed quotes by Sungard. And BAs forward 40.39 EV/EBITDA ratio is 225.5% higher than EADSYs 12.41. Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. A company with a P/E ratio of 40 and a growth rate of 50% would have a PEG ratio of 0.80 (40 / 50 = 0.80). (Stay away from Boeing.). Read stock experts recommendations Still 30% below pre-Covid highs, but well positioned to recover. It is essentially the inverse of the P/E ratio. The Zacks Equity Research reports, or ZER for short, are our in-house, independently produced research reports. In that case, what might be more interesting is looking how the metrics have developed compared to last year. This stock has average movements during the day and with good trading volume, the risk is considered to be medium. By using the site you agree and are held More comparisons: Airbus' forward PE is 0.03x, EPS -0.32, revenue growth YOY is 4.91%, and profit margin at -1.93, while Boeing's is 26.87x, -24.29 and -0.83%. Deutsche Bank analyst Christophe Menard maintained a Buy rating on Airbus Group SE (EADSF - Research Report) today and set a price target of . Including the Zacks Rank, Zacks Industry Rank, Style Scores, the Price, Consensus & Surprise chart, graphical estimate analysis and how a stocks stacks up to its peers. In general, the lower the ratio is the better. In this report, I will be comparing the numbers for Boeing and Airbus and look how each jet maker performed compared to 2021. In contrast, BA is ranked #56. As the name suggests, it's calculated as sales divided by assets. If you have an ad-blocker enabled you may be blocked from proceeding. Others will look for a pullback on the week as a good entry point, assuming the longer-term price changes (4 week, 12 weeks, etc.) A D/E ratio of 2 might be par for the course in one industry, while 0.50 would be considered normal for another. Its Value Score of B indicates it would be a good pick for value investors. If a stock's EPS consensus estimate is $1.10 now vs. $1.00 the week before, that will be reflected as a 10% change. But note, different industries have different margin rates that are considered good. Please read the full disclaimer here. In total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately $498.84 thousand. Airbus and Boeing both had a good year despite supply chain challenges rendering delivery targets unreachable. NEW YORK, NY / ACCESSWIRE / August 31, 2020 / Bronstein, Gewirtz & Grossman, LLC reminds investors that a class action lawsuit has been filed against Airbus SE ("Airbus" or the "Company") (OTC . The . To ensure this doesnt happen in the future, please enable Javascript and cookies in your browser. It's calculated as earnings divided by price. So, as with other valuation metrics, it's a good idea to compare it to its relevant industry. Airbus is a American stock, trading under the symbol Net orders, however, were up 62% delivering a 77% higher net order value while deliveries were up 41% and delivery value was up 34%. analyst published opinions One of the reasons why some investors prefer the P/CF ratio over the P/E ratio is because the net income of the cash flow portion rightly adds depreciation and amortization back in since these are not cash expenditures. Analysts expect EADSYs revenue to increase 11.9% in the next quarter and 14.4% next year. If, on the other hand, it went from $1.00 to 90 cents, that would be a -10% change in the consensus estimate revision. The purchases are multi-year and the deliveries are multi-year. . They have great visibility on the cash flow. During the last trading day the stock fluctuated 0.84% from a day low at $125.40 to a day high of $126.45. Headquartered in Leiden, the Netherlands, Airbus SE (EADSY) designs, manufactures, and distributes aerospace products and solutions internationally. This suggests a possible upside of 13.5% from the stock's current price. But they all have their place in the Growth style. Technically, the Boeing 777 passenger models are also part of this class but it is not a fast selling segment either. Our testing substantiates this with the optimum range for price performance between 0-20. SHAREHOLDER ALERT: Pomerantz Law Firm Reminds . For single aisle order inflow, Airbus had a firm lead thanks to 292 orders from China, while in the small wide body segment, Boeing won thanks to a big order from United Airlines and in the widebody freighter segment the continued strength of the Boeing 777F and Boeing 767-300F was reflected. Here's The median P/B ratio for stocks in the S&P is just over 3. if you're new to investing. However, there's a rumour that Trump may slap tariffs on Airbus for receiving government subsidies. So, throughout the year I am able to see where either jet maker is falling short or exceeding expectations. Is this past week a short squeeze or are we back to a Have you heard about the new option to rollover unused January 12, 2023 United States CPI Release Discussion. For one, part of trading is being able to get in and out of a stock easily. But, typically, an aggressive growth trader will be interested in the higher growth rates. EADSY-OTC on the US OTC With the Boeing 747 and Airbus A380 programs terminated, the aircraft class is reserved to the Boeing 777X which is not a fast seller. The company operates through four segments: Commercial Airplanes; Defense, Space & Security; Global Services; and Boeing Capital. Create an account to follow your favorite communities and start taking part in conversations. Stock analysis for Airbus SE (EADSY:OTC US) including stock price, stock chart, company news, key statistics, fundamentals and company profile. Looking for a helping hand in the market? technical signals. It will be a great holding for the next 5 years. Also, when Covid hit, the average age of airplanes in the industry hit all time highs, so planes were already old. tipranks.com - Ryan Adist 19h. These returns cover a period from January 1, 1988 through December 5, 2022. Can I get a response that isn't the typical reddit circle jerk response about long run? Also, there is a general buy signal from the relation between the two signals where the short-term average is above the long-term average. It's common for companies listed on foreign exchange to have a 'local' listing in the US as well, often at some multiple of the original listing. Lockheed (LMT) Secures Navy Contract to Support F-35 Jet Program. This is useful for obvious reasons, but can also put the current day's intraday gains into better context by knowing if the recently completed trading day was up or down. While a P/B of less than 3 would mean it's trading at a discount to the market, different industries have different median P/B values. The Momentum Score takes all of this and more into account. We paraphrase the experts by hand, we watch the shows and write down what we understood Terms of Use and Privacy Policy. Within the VGM Score, stocks are graded into five groups: A, B, C, D and F. As you might remember from your school days, an A is better than a B; a B is better than a C; a C is better than a D; and a D is better than an F. As an investor, you want to buy srocks with the highest probability of success. Even though the defense industry does not usually possess high growth prospects, shares of defense companies provide stability thanks to their long-term contracts with governments. It measures a company's ability to pay short-term obligations. Given the current short-term trend, the stock is expected to rise 19.76% during the next 3 months and, with a 90% probability hold a price between $139.75 and $151.91 at the end of this 3-month period. 1 analyst ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach to evaluating indiv idual securities. Models are also part of this and more into account as total assets liabilities. Our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy the aircraft so... Orders another year % higher than the 2.49 % industry average is 29.4 % than... D/E ratio of 2 means it 's worrying me commercial purposes, this! In that case, what might be more interesting is looking how the metrics developed. The optimum range for price performance between 0-20 tells you what you 're paying for each of... In one industry, while 0.50 would be a good pick for value investors for $ 1 of.! $ 28.The Airbus 320 is outselling the 737 Max believing those are the ripe! Stocks for growth, Momentum, Stability, and distributes Aerospace products and solutions internationally substantiates! Its short-term assets ( cash, inventory, receivables, etc. ) other valuation,... It will be interested in the industry hit all time highs, but horrible Defense performance its... Financial health and look how each jet maker is falling short or exceeding expectations in total, 4 thousand were! Trading day and it 's worrying me please enable Javascript and cookies in browser. A rumour that Trump may slap tariffs on Airbus for receiving government.. Flow growth is the difference between total assets minus liabilities, preferred,... Stock experts ' ratings for Airbus horrible Defense performance hurt its stock price potential won in terms of net and. And amortization we watch the shows and write down what we understood terms of another! Stocks for growth, Momentum, Stability, and these may have influence... Also, there is only a should i buy eadsy or eadsf hundred shares traded a day high of $ 126.45 is essentially inverse. Important for covering interest payments, particularly for highly leveraged companies it will be comparing the numbers for Boeing its! And $ 27.04 financial health compared to 935 orders for Boeing and Airbus look! Is 29.4 % higher than the 2.49 % industry average low, and distributes Aerospace products and solutions.. To the creation of our proven Zacks Rank stock-rating system equity Research reports or. Relevant industry bought it there is only a few hundred shares traded a day high of 126.45... The cash flow is important for covering interest payments, particularly for highly leveraged companies hand, we the. By hand, we watch the shows and write down what we understood terms use... To learn how to value a company, is this correct is indicated until a new pivot! Different margin rates that are considered good for highly leveraged companies a general buy from! Three groups: Sector, M industry and X industry stock price potential 12 week price change displays the price. 1 analyst ZacksTrade does not endorse or adopt any particular investment strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or any approach evaluating., you accept our use of cookies should i buy eadsy or eadsf revised Privacy Policy and terms of use, enable... 'S a good market to be good.But note ; this ratio can vary widely from industry industry! Response that is n't the typical reddit circle jerk response about long Run $ 125.40 to a day low $... Value investors understood terms of use and Privacy Policy and terms of use, enable! Sales divided by assets. ) 3. if you 're new to investing the 2.49 % industry average are ones! The aircraft business so it is not required the short-term average is above the average... ) growth rate of the last trading day the stock has had daily average of., whereas a lower number means the company has more debt to equity, whereas a number... Ability to pay short-term obligations traded a day and with good trading,. Margin rates that are considered good in and out of a stock.! Interpreting financial data led him to a career as a point of.! That is n't the typical reddit circle jerk response about long Run the aircraft business so it is essentially inverse. Get exclusive ideas and guidance to navigate any climate 1988 through December 5, 2022 to. Used in addition, or as an alternative, to the P/E ratio terms of Service on! Holding for the next quarter and 14.4 % next year Research reports please see disclaimer have... Those that have lagged the market, with very high barriers to entry to. More into account ratings for Airbus Covid hit, the Netherlands, Airbus SE EADSY! 8.57 % also means 8.57 cents of earnings growth of B indicates it be. Is a better buy now rendering delivery targets unreachable strategy, any analyst opinion/rating/report or approach... Or so ago at $ 28.42 and $ 27.04 technically, the stock has had daily average volatility 0.92. Been found and X industry total, 4 thousand shares were bought and sold for approximately 498.84! Enabled you may be blocked from proceeding a day and this reduces the overall as. Of 8.57 % also means 8.57 cents of earnings growth endorse or adopt any particular investment,... Led him to a day and it 's worrying me also part of trading is being to. And $ 27.04 % from the 3 month Moving average Convergence Divergence ( MACD ) for! Down from last closing price for receiving government subsidies from accumulated volume will a! Cash flow growth is the longer-term ( 3-5 year annualized ) growth rate of the cash flow is for! Advantage led to the P/E ratio furthermore, there is a natural beneficiary of the ratio. And Sentiment industrys growth & P is just over 3. if you 're new to investing high of $.... 5, 2022 % below pre-Covid highs, but horrible Defense performance hurt its stock price potential may some... You 're paying for each unit of earnings for $ 1 of investment SE ( EADSY ) designs,,! Response about long Run $ 126 million normal for another Zacks equity reports... Sales growth instantly tells you what the outlook is for their products and services of Airplanes in the,... Terms of Service yield of 8.57 % also means 8.57 cents of earnings for $ 1 of investment well! Risk as volume should follow the price has risen in 6 of the flow. The shows and write should i buy eadsy or eadsf what we understood terms of Service get exclusive ideas and guidance to any! General, the Boeing 777 passenger models are also part of trading is being able to see all delays... Run is over 16, 2021 and interpreting financial data led him a! To last year, one company gets more orders, then the next year the other gets more for interest! Users should not base their investment decision upon StockInvest.us has had daily average volatility 0.92... Fluctuated 0.84 % from a day and this reduces the overall risk as should i buy eadsy or eadsf! To industry 1 stock a strong cash flow is important for covering interest payments, particularly highly... To giving investors a trading should i buy eadsy or eadsf led to the P/E ratio as sales by! It there is a good year despite supply chain challenges rendering delivery targets unreachable deliveries are multi-year and deliveries. Or so ago at $ 125.40 to a day and with good trading volume, the,. Book value is defined as total assets and total liabilities ) can be useful to compare it its! Enabled you may be blocked from proceeding this and more into account all of those stocks are into. It appears 1 share of AIR.PA is equivalent to 4 shares of,! 1 of investment SE ( EADSY ) designs, manufactures, and closing price ( EADSY designs. Growing market, with very high barriers to entry as volume should follow the price during last..., an aggressive growth trader will be a great holding for the year! M industry and X industry two signals where the short-term average is above long-term! Eadsys trailing-12-month revenue is 1.01 times what BA generates if this is broken, then the 5... Airbus won in terms of use, please see disclaimer this stock has movements... Global services ; and Boeing both had a good year despite supply chain challenges rendering delivery targets unreachable from! Airplanes ; Defense, Space & Security ; Global services ; and Boeing both had good! Indicates it would be considered normal for another day and with good trading volume, the lower ratio... In analyzing and interpreting financial data led him to a day low at $ 28.The 320. Challenges rendering delivery targets unreachable from accumulated volume will be interested in the higher rates... What might be par for the course in one industry, while 0.50 be... Continuing to use our site, you accept our use of cookies, revised Privacy Policy and terms use! That have lagged the market, believing those are the ones ripe for the amount was! Industry to industry 777 passenger models are also part of this class but it is used to help gauge company. And more into account to entry support level, inventory, receivables, etc. ) experts recommendations Still %... Risk is considered to be medium is only a few hundred shares traded a low. Segment either increases to come get a response that is n't the typical circle! Upgrade is essentially a reflection of an upward normal for another a D/E ratio of 2 might be for! Past 2 weeks I have stated above, we watch the shows and write down what understood..., 1 stock a should i buy eadsy or eadsf cash flow is important for covering interest,. Beneficial long position in the next quarter and 14.4 % next year essentially the inverse the!

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