On a good day, these players will get several carriesnear the goal line and will score multiple touchdowns. Seattles line is ranked 32nd. Also keep in mind that, to maintain a small competitive advantage, head coaches may not always be fully honest about an injured players chances of playing. }); When someone mentions that Player X recorded five RB1 performances last year, it irks me a bit. If you want the discounted Austin Ekeler, look no further than Clyde Edwards-Helaire. Adding to the question marks, Tennessee typically goes run heavy with two-time rushing champ Derrick Henry in the backfield, and the Titans drafted Arkansas wideout Treylon Burks in Round 1 to eventually be the No. Pickup: A player to potentially add to your roster. Unlimited has been running for his life the past decade hes been sacked 436 times since 2013, averaging out to 48.4 sacks per season so hell benefit from some pocket stability. Heres the most significant reason for optimism for DangeRuss this season: Nathaniel Hackett. QBBC (Quarterback by Committee): The QBBC strategy directs owners to pass on the big-name QBs and fill their roster with RBs and WRs before selecting multiple QBs in the later rounds. What Does Aubameyang's Departure Mean for Arsenal? Because of this dynamic, stacking is considered a boom-bust technique. You may also hear this referred to as a "lottery ticket" or "dart throw.". There are two players who stand out head and shoulders above everyone else on this list. And unlike in Tennessee, hell have to compete with another solid WR and a high-volume TE for targets. You see a big name player you know you shouldn't trust, but all that darn potential makes to too hard to. McKissic re-signed this season after reneging on the Jets, and Robinson could jeopardize Gibsons heavy goal-line usage. Since every fantasy league can have its own unique scoring system, make sure your cheat sheet is customized to your leagues settings. Its rare to find a running back who produces RB1-type numbers more than half the time, so if you have a chance to draft one, you really should. To me, hes a discounted RB1 with the touches hes expected to get. His catch rate has increased every year, from 54.2 percent as a rookie to 66.3 percent in 2020 to 72.6 percent last season. The players performance should not be graded on a curve, because we have no control on predicting what that curve is for any particular week. Again, Odell is sitting top-10 right now, amongst wide receivers, which is crazy, and JuJu's sitting 14th. Come join Kyran, Shug and guests as we talk all things NFL and the crazy fictional world of Fantasy Football You'll enjoy plenty of discussion on trades, waiver wire pick ups, sit em start em, draft strategy and much more! Each team is also required to give each of their injured players one of four possible injury designations probable, questionable, doubtful and out. Despite Sony Michel missing much of last year, Harris produced RB2 or better numbers just 30 percent of the time, which stems from his lack of usage in the passing game. Keeper league: A fantasy league in which you may carry a certain number of players from the previous season into the next season. There are some changing factors with some of them, but the discount appears to be enough to make up for that. The term "boom or bust" is often used to describe a player who has the potential to score a lot of points in any given week but also has the potential to score very few points. Flier (flyer): A player who is drafted or added as a free agent because there is an outside chance that he may exceed expectations for that week or a season. Chark was someone who had some extremely impressive performances last year but was also someone who left you out to dry a bit too often, as he failed to reach WR3-type numbers in 53.3 percent of games. The team with the first pick in the first round would have the last pick of the second round and the first pick of the third round. More three- and four-wide receiver sets, spreading out the wealth of a passing attack? FF or FFB: Abbreviation for fantasy football. Its crazy to see the Texans top two receivers in this range. Woods enjoyed a career breakout in his first few years in L.A., but injuries and volume regression reared their ugly heads during the Rams 2021 Super Bowl run. D.J. Another position in football that can earn the boom or bust title is the red zone tight end. Belichick backfields can be befuddling, and workloads can greatly vary in New England from one season to the next. On slow days these wide receivers may find themselves unable to get open. Once an owner uses his or her waiver priority to successfully add a player, their priority number falls to the bottom of the league. While the WR2 number was 15.3 PPR points in 2017, it lowered to 14.9 PPR points in 2018, then 14.5 PPR points in 2019. Players placed on IR in the NFL will not play for the rest of the current season. On a good day these players are going to be getting several carries near the goal line and will often score multiple touchdowns. Dynasty leagues are for more advanced fantasy owners and require a long-term commitment. The numbers vary from year-to-year, which is where the research comes into play. The same can be said about J.K. Dobbins, though hes a bit cheaper, and the situation around him has gotten better with Mark Ingram gone. Is this a sign of the way the NFL is trending? If you have a solid group of players that you feel confident about, you can afford to take a risk on a boom or bust player. video. If youre taking place in auctions, remember than Aaron Jones is a discounted Alvin Kamara, Nick Chubb is a discounted Derrick Henry (and Jonathan Taylor), and Clyde Edwards-Helaire is a discounted Austin Ekeler. Stating where someone finished for a particular week doesnt do us any good, either, because variance is a real thing. Gibson could easily explode into the top five of PPR backs this year if he gets 18-plus touches, but he could also plummet to the 30s or 40s if he continues to seemingly lose ground to rookie Brian Robinson Jr.. RB1, RB2: In a 10-team league, an RB1 is a running back who ranks as a top-10 option, while an RB2 is ranked from 11-20 at the position. [Benjamin Raven] D'Andre Swift says Duce Staley has him feeling like the sky is the limit. Still, he produced RB2 or better numbers 60 percent of the time, which is why we have to pay attention to how the Cardinals are planning to use James Conner alongside Chase Edmonds. Now Allen Robinson replaces Woods on the defending-champs depth chart, while Woods takes over A.J. Floor: The lowest potential for a player, whether when evaluating his career or his in-game performance. Trade: Swapping certain players from Team A to Team B. Still, thats not as consistent as running backs. Projections: Often found on a cheat sheet, projections are estimations of players value in a week or over a full season. Its possible, but we dont want to jump to conclusions with such a limited sample size. Boom, bust, and everything in between. When playing fantasy you will find there is a laundry list of terminology and slang that is unique to this hobby. Mock draft vs. experts with our free Draft Simulator > >. Were starting to see third-down backs fall into this territory, which can be used by those going with Zero RB strategies, and thats highlighted in the RB3 or better column. The term boom or bust is often used to describe a player who has the potential to score a lot of points in any given week but also has the potential to score very few points. Its also not wise counting on Amari Cooper as a WR1 in fantasy, as he doesnt get the target share necessary to be consistent. Out (O): This player will not play this week. The Matchup: One of the most important factors to consider when starting a boom or bust player is the matchup. if(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[300,250],'fourvertsfootball_com-medrectangle-4','ezslot_1',101,'0','0'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-fourvertsfootball_com-medrectangle-4-0');if(typeof ez_ad_units!='undefined'){ez_ad_units.push([[300,250],'fourvertsfootball_com-medrectangle-4','ezslot_2',101,'0','1'])};__ez_fad_position('div-gpt-ad-fourvertsfootball_com-medrectangle-4-0_1');.medrectangle-4-multi-101{border:none!important;display:block!important;float:none!important;line-height:0;margin-bottom:7px!important;margin-left:auto!important;margin-right:auto!important;margin-top:7px!important;max-width:100%!important;min-height:250px;padding:0;text-align:center!important}When a player booms in fantasy football it means they scored a lot of fantasy points. This Indy defense seems top-heavy and too reliant on turnovers and big plays. Since goal line backs do not rack up many yards when it comes to rushing the ball the touchdowns are often going to be the main part of their fantasy production. Given the risk, theres likely better value in guys like Dallas Goedert, Zach Ertz, and maybe even Cole Kmet, all of whom are going at least 20 spots after Hockenson. Injuries are part of the equation, but instead, were trying to identify players who could disappoint even if they stay mostly healthy all year. Stream (or Streaming): Instead of having a dedicated starter week-to-week, an owner may prefer to stream a position. This results in a low fantasy output in a decent amount of games. And just like the goal line back when that doesnt happen these players are going to bust for your fantasy team that week. This research is done on PPR leagues because its the format that presents the most consistency, which makes it the most predictable. That number can obviously be. For one, Woods is recovering from a torn left ACL that cost him the second half of his 2021 season. With wide receivers, the number to boom wound up on 25.0 PPR points because it would have amounted to eight receptions for 120 yards and a touchdown. The first thing that jumps off this chart is David Montgomery and Chris Carson being at the bottom of it despite posting RB1-type numbers at least half the time, which is better than five running backs who are being selected in the top 10. Moreover, Jalen Hurts hasnt proven to be a QB who can help wide receivers have big seasons. Getting the 20.6 touches per game he got last year, his numbers were pretty much in line with where they shouldve been. Moore, DeVante Parker, Robert Woods, Michael Gallup, and Julian Edelman. Here are the wide receivers, while the other positions will be released throughout the rest of the week. So, wheres the rub? Were now to the point where youll see some of the more consistent options who may not have the WR1 upside that those in the 11-20 range do, but they are typically the receivers who come with a better floor. Crazy, right? Free Agent: A player who is not currently on any teams roster. Some fantasy leagues also grant a bye week to their teams. He recorded 60-plus catches in each of the past two seasons and scored a total of 10 TDs across that span. Is Brown worth a fifth-round pick, though? However, these players can also be exciting, as they can win you your week with their big performances. Consistency is the name of the game at running back. Does this mean all of them will fail to live up to their ADP? Hamler, who will take over the WR3 duties from the injured Tim Patrick (right knee) is coming off his own serious injury (left knee, left hip). What Does It Mean When A Receiver Is Covered Up? Boom or bust in fantasy football refers to a player that either performs incredibly well or incredibly poorly. It is based on the belief that running back is the most volatile and injury-prone position. This seems to be the range where most fantasy owners believe a player will take a leap in production, as theyre drafting them as WR2s most of the time. Bye Week: Each NFL team plays 16 games out of 17 weeks during the season. Some will wonder if Kamara deserves to be in that range, but his touchdowns carried him so much in 2020. Managers most frequently seek "insurance" at the running back position. Hes rejoining friend and former college teammate Kyler Murray, who throws a much better deep ball than Lamar Jackson and has a much better overall passing offense around him. Denvers tight end situation since trading away Noah Fant also seems murky Albert Okwuegbunam and Greg Dulcich are almost as tough to project as they are to spell. While the RB2 (top-24 performance) number was 11.5 PPR points in 2017, it went up to 12.5 PPR points in 2018, then back to 11.5 PPR points in 2019 and 2020. Does the loss of Tom Brady hurt him that much? But if your team is already thin at a particular position, its probably best to play it safe. Youll be able to find the links below once they go live. Mock Draft: A fake draft that is used to practice drafting strategy and gauge where players will be selected in actual fantasy drafts. Manage Settings QB1, QB2: In a 10-team league, a QB1 is a quarterback who ranks as a top-10 option, while a QB2 is ranked from 11-20 at the position. If you can find someone who hits WR1-type numbers 33 percent of the time, its decent. But what we do know about running backs is that opportunity is king, and now that Giovani Bernard is gone, that volume should be here to stay. This is a dictionary of fantasy football terms that should help define the lingo used in the community. Its tough to say what owners look for in this range, as some like to play it safe with a veteran whos a lock for seven targets per game, while others are willing to take their shots on players who offer week-winning upside, even if it means sacrificing a fantasy floor. Still, hes the only starting receiver returning to the lineup for the Jets, so his targets should be safe. Helpful for trying alternate strategies and preparing yourself for different circumstances that arise, including draft slots. 13 wide receiver last year? Snake draft: A draft where the team who drafts first in Round 1 will draft last in Round 2. May all your drafted players reach their full potential, and may injuries and regression haunt the dreams of your opponents. He was dropped and didnt produce the first half of the season. I just worry he wont average more than 12.0 touches per game in 2021. Copyright 2023 Sporting News Holdings Limited. Meanwhile, the Rams have said theyll rest Henderson through the preseason, which tells us theyre planning on him as the workhorse of this offense. The last thing Ill note from this chart is that Joe Mixons touches were ridiculous in 2020, though his performance didnt match them. One question new fantasy football managers have is what does boom or bust mean. If he was on the sideline starting the year and not getting any targets, it shouldnt affect his percentages. Its encouraging that Edmonds produced RB2 or better numbers 43.8 percent of the time despite averaging single-digit touches in 2020. Gibson seems like a perfect back to feature as a boom-or-bust. var player = jwplayer("player"); His career high in receiving yards is 1,075 yards, and hes managed double-digit TDs once in three campaigns. Thats too easy. Fantasy Football Week 3: Start Em Sit Em for Boom-or-Bust . Bottom line is that Michael Thomas and Davante Adams are in a tier of their own, while Julio Jones isnt far behind. The question this year is whether the additions of DJ Chark and Jameson Williams will help or hurt Hockenson. Gamble: A player with both high potential and high risk. He made nine Pro Bowls and two Super Bowls in Seattle, and came inches away from joining the illustrious two-ring QB club. He finished with 136 total touches, 1,770 scrimmage yards, and 14 touchdowns. He averaged 7.0 targets in 21, which translated to 11.7 PPR points (sixth best at TE). While on waivers, owners can make a waiver claim for the recently released player. Add to that Gibsons issues with losing the rock his six fumbles ties Ezekiel Elliott for most in the NFL since 2020 and we have bust potential. This can also happen if a teams primary starter is injured and the owner must reevaluate the position each week. It is a high-risk, high-reward strategy aimed to take advantage of favorable matchups and concentrated usage patterns. Daily Fantasy Sports (DFS): Instead of playing in a league for a full season, contests are won or lost in one day or a very short duration. FAAB (Free Agent Acquisition Budget): A waiver wire method where each team owner is given a budget for the season that is used to bid on players on the waiver wire. This player may have suffered a season-ending injury, been suspended or simply was unable to perform well on the field. Boom-or-Bust: A player who could perform one of two ways in a season: really well or really poorly. Flier: An ambiguous term that generally means chance, as in to take a flier on a player. It can also refer to a player who is worth adding as a free agent or off waivers. I definitely don't trust. Theres so much to like about the 6-5, 250-pound Hockenson. Deep League: A league with more than 12 owners and/or rosters that are larger than normal. Ive said it before, and Ill say it again Do not sleep on Odell Beckham Jr. Dont do it. player.setup({ Every year, fantasy football owners talk non-stop about sleeper and breakout candidates ahead of their drafts. Insurance player: Rostering the primary backup to one of your better players. Typically, such a spot can be filled by a running back, wide receiver or tight end, though some leagues also include other or fewer positions in their flex spot(s). This can be done in one of two ways: an auction draft or a serpentine draft. The problem: injuries have forced Brown to play in fewer games in each of the past two seasons. If theyre playing a team struggling against their position all season, its probably a good idea to start them. Prior to a game, each NFL team is required to submit an injury report that lists each of their afflicted players and the general nature of their injury (knee, back, illness, etc.). Additionally, K.J. Cheat Sheet: A drafting tool that ranks NFL players in order of their projected fantasy point total. 1 wideout. He has also demonstrated above-average skills as a pass-catcher, hauling in over 81 percent of his 96 targets over his first two seasons. Dont forget that the Bucs allowed Fournette to go out there in free agency and see what he could get before he ultimately came back on a one-year deal worth just $3.2 million. On the flip side, Jaron Brown scored 17.9 PPR points in Week 6 and was awarded with a WR1 performance because it was a low-scoring week for wide receivers. Zero-RB Strategy: When an owner opts to fade or avoid the RB position early in the draft due to their risks (injury, overuse). Its likely hell pay off that value while Hopkins is out, but if hes merely putting up Christian Kirk numbers down the stretch (3.8 catches, 54.4 yards, four total TDs in 10 games with Hopkins last year), then Brown will ultimately be a bust. 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